Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.848919 0.991403 1.150187 1.340235 1.561540 1.811148 2.114137
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.608220 0.793363 1.023120 1.329157 1.726261 2.224425 2.897546
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.479794 0.677289 0.941932 1.322399 1.855689 2.577349 3.629833
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.401062 0.603700 0.892707 1.334788 1.994503 2.943817 4.416796
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.328813 0.523243 0.815914 1.288285 2.032436 3.161634 5.010083
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.303713 0.507831 0.830197 1.375956 2.278161 3.713354 6.177241
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.258275 0.451900 0.771442 1.336622 2.313070 3.934910 6.843197
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.220383 0.402159 0.714615 1.290130 2.325883 4.116359 7.459130
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.190263 0.361130 0.666239 1.249947 2.341342 4.299796 8.096603
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.173889 0.342489 0.654523 1.273140 2.472057 4.700226 9.175522
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.167299 0.341235 0.674222 1.356994 2.725859 5.355514 10.816678
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.156256 0.329546 0.672196 1.397772 2.900321 5.879510 12.267227
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.142292 0.310434 0.653968 1.405528 3.013739 6.306101 13.597032
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.128076 0.288824 0.627930 1.393823 3.086030 6.660294 14.829163
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.116078 0.270246 0.605637 1.386733 3.166515 7.040413 16.166806
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.107104 0.257125 0.593311 1.399722 3.292474 7.533080 17.819296
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.094734 0.234318 0.556254 1.350966 3.270760 7.694408 18.733180
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.093077 0.236887 0.577832 1.442884 3.590941 8.675141 21.710735
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.083296 0.218026 0.546208 1.401644 3.584068 8.887520 22.852022
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.074228 0.199673 0.513396 1.352899 3.551811 9.034074 23.848091
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.066536 0.183809 0.484714 1.310770 3.530614 9.204838 24.928822
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.062859 0.178180 0.481513 1.335087 3.686441 9.843534 27.326440
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.062290 0.181028 0.500942 1.423004 4.024704 10.998222 31.271892